Sino-US Trade Differences - Can a Balance be Restored?

来源: CHINA FOREX 2019 Issue 2 作者:Mu Zhiqian
The vast Pacific region is big enough to allow two powers...

The Sino-US trade standoff is at a critical point. So fardevelopments have been unfortunate to say the least. But the political frictions are in many ways understandable.

The differences between China and the United States are plain for all to see. They lie in the different degrees of modernization and the development paths these two countries have chosen. They also are the inevitable results of different cultural and historical traditions.

Different paths in the course of modernization are to be expected. Britain took the road that generally favored peaceful change and gradual progress while France took a more violent path of revolution and disruption. The United States freed itself from colonial rule through a war for independence. China also chose revolution and a totally different political system. In more recent years it has undergone reform and an opening-up to the outside world. From the American point of viewwhat China has chosen is state capitalism and this system in and of itself makes the United States uncomfortable. Added to that is an American sense of crisis stemming from the fear of being surpassed. In factdifferences do not have to devolve into confrontation.It is important that we remember that a prosperous China is good for the United Statesand vice versa. MoreoverChina does not aim to change – nor does it seek to replace – the United States. Prejudice leads to faulty assumptions and miscalculations. Hypersensitivity can lead to flawed judgments while tolerance allows room for the accommodation of differences. It is essential that we keep this in mind.

China and the United States are at different stages of development. The United States has completed the process of industrialization and transformed itself into an information society while China is still in the mid to late stages of industrialization. The US has advantages in capital and technology and China has an ample supply of labor. America's strength is its service industryespecially financial serviceswhile China's advantage is in processing and manufacturing.  US economic growth is driven by robust domestic demandespecially consumer demand. China focuses on the supply sideparticularly exports and investment. American investment mainly draws on private capitalwhile China enjoys a mix of state and private capital. In the USthere is a bottom-up approach to policywhile in China it is top-down and government-led.

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