Central Bank Divergence
While the world is getting used to rising interest rates almost everywhere – with noticeable exceptions in China,Japan,and Turkey – there are signs of central bank divergence on the horizon.
The divergence in central bank policies is not new. Domestic economic conditions differ,calling for different responses. Yet,the past year and a half,amid global inflationary pressure,has seen central banks act in unison – hiking up rates aggressively to quell inflation in fear of a wage-price spiral. More generally,in the past three decades,central bank policies,especially those in the developed counties,have become more synchronized.
The recent central bank actions serve as a reminder that as inflationary pressure recedes in some parts of the world,central banks will find themselves navigating complex challenges,occasionally marked by conflicting domestic imperatives.