Foreign Investment Steady Despite Sino-US Trade Row

来源: CHINA FOREX 2019 Issue 3 作者:Su Qingyi and Wang R
The prolonged trade dispute between China and the US has raised concerns among foreign-invested enterprises. Foreign investors worry whether trade frictions will hurt China’s economic growth,wh

The prolonged trade dispute between China and the US has raised concerns among foreign-invested enterprises. Foreign investors worry whether trade frictions will hurt China’s economic growthwhether the business climate overall will deteriorate or whether China will impose retaliatory restrictions on American or other companies. Opinions vary widely on the extent of the impact from the trade row. The US argues that it will “impose tariffs to drive American companies out of China,” while the World Bank’s Doing Business 2019often seen as an investment bellwetherhas stated that China’s business environment has actually been improving. In the article belowthe author concludes that despite the damage to Sino-US trade relationsforeign investors still regard China as an attractive place for investment.

Negative Impacts

The Sino-US trade dispute has had a mixed impact on foreign investment in China. In examining investment trends it is essential to look at investment stocks and flows. If foreign invested enterprises close downreduce productionand shift investment to other countriesthat will reduce the foreign investment stock. HoweverSino-US trade friction is not the only reason for the withdrawal of some foreign capital from China. Some of the other factors can be seen below.

Rising costs are the root cause of the outbound migration of manufacturing. China is no longer attractive for some types of manufacturingparticularly in labor-intensive areas. To cut costssome companies have been shifting their manufacturing base to lower cost countries. It is an inevitable phenomenon in economic and industrial development. For exampleNitto Denkoone of the world’s top 500 companieshas closed its factory in Suzhou. NikonFujitsu and Samsung have also moved their factories to Southeast Asia for cost reasons.

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