Outlook for China's Economy – Roundtable Discussion

来源: CHINAFOREX 2018 Issue 3 作者:Zhong Wei

In the first half of 2018China's economy underwent some profound changes. Firstthe macro economy continued to show steady growth and profits of state-owned enterprises hit a new high but there was slower growth in fixed asset investment and consumption. Secondfinancial deleveraging efforts encountered new challenges. There was a continuous slowdown in the growth of total social financing and M2 money supply while significant swings in the stock market and the currency were seen. Additionallythere were public concerns about new regulations on asset management. Thirdexternal uncertainties continued to mount just as central banks accelerated the process of monetary policy normalization. Howevermajor economies and emerging markets had to contend with President Trump's global policies. Fourthsteady and neutral monetary policy and proactive fiscal policy were used in tandem effectively. Reasonable liquidity in the financial marketand liquidity tension and strict regulatory supervision in the economy. Meanwhilepromising growth in fiscal revenue in the first half of the year has led to more controversies. Against this backgroundwhat is the likely trend for China's macro economy? Are policy adjustments needed now? These are key questions to be addressed in the following roundtable discussion.

Moderator: Zhong Weiassociate editor at China Forex

Panelists: Zhang Mingchief economist at Ping An Securitiesresearch fellow at the Institute of World Economics and Politics at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences

Deng Haiqingassociate dean of Research Antgroup.comvisiting professor of Renmin University of China

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